Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?

8
6
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction2025-01-09 (2023-12-23 - 2026-02-11)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2029-12-30
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2023-12-23 06:28
2025-01-09 16:48
2026-02-11 10:52
9.8%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Bryan Caplan
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