Question

When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction2024-07

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2029-12

...

2023-10

2024-07

2026-02

11.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bryan Caplan

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Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bryan Caplan

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Twitter

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Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

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When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?

Make a Prediction

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

Comments

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?