Question

When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?

Resolved :Apr 18, 2021

58 comments58

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction2021-03-23

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-12-30

...

2021-03-05 12:04

2021-03-23 06:39

2021-04-15 03:50

0.7%

What was the final result?Apr 18, 2021

Community Baseline Score

27.9

Community Peer Score

3.0

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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