Question
When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :Apr 18, 20212021-03-23Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction2021-03-23 (2021-03-05 - 2021-04-15)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2022-12-30
...
...
...
...
2021-03-05 12:04
2021-03-23 06:39
2021-04-15 03:50
0.7%
What was the final result?Apr 18, 2021
Community Baseline Score
27.9
Community Peer Score
3.0
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
