Question

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

325 comments325

Total Forecasters1219

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 12.0%

Authors:

jzima

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Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Technology

Human extinction

Global catastrophic risk

Extinction

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

30%

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

30%

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

2051-04

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Technology

Human extinction

Global catastrophic risk

Extinction

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

30%

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

30%

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

2051-04

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Will humans go extinct before 2100?

Make a Prediction

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

Comments

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?