Question

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?

Resolved :Yes

78 comments78

Total Forecasters443

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

41.2

Community Peer Score

15.2

median 85.0%mean 85.1%

Authors:

Uncle Jeff

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Uncle Jeff

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Republicans Just 2 Seats Away From House Control—As Ballots Uncounted In Some States

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Republicans 2 seats away from House majority, giving Trump leeway to implement agenda

FOX News•Nov 13, 2024

Republicans Now Only 1 Seat Away From House Control

Forbes•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%