Question

Will the #NoFees4Charity campaign succeed?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.0

Community Peer Score

11.3

median 1.0%mean 3.7%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Visa

Effective altruism

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%

Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?

0.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Visa

Effective altruism

Revealed: ‘Grassroots’ campaigns opposed to assisted dying financed by conservative Christian pressure groups

Guardian•Nov 16, 2024

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•Nov 17, 2024

Now's The Time to Start (or Renew) a Pledge for EFF Through the CFC

Electronic Frontier Foundation•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%

Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?

0.9%