Question

Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?

Resolved :Ambiguous

18 comments18

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction68%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 68%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 68.0%mean 67.8%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Conservative Party (UK)

Gross national income

Aid

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Conservative Party (UK)

Gross national income

Aid

Boost UK defence spending to win Trump’s support, former navy chief urges Starmer

Guardian•Nov 9, 2024

UK ‘planning lots of scenarios’ for Donald Trump’s approach to Ukraine

Guardian•Nov 10, 2024

Government expected to help UK hospices hit by national insurance rise

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%