Question

Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?

Resolved :Ambiguous68%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction68% (64% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 68%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

Gross national income

Aid

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Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Rachel Reeves has already walked back her budget, issuing fresh austerity cuts for public services

Canary•Dec 17, 2024

Lift for Rachel Reeves as UK borrowing hits three-year low

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

Gross national income

Aid

France’s defence spending debacle will infuriate Donald Trump

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Rachel Reeves has already walked back her budget, issuing fresh austerity cuts for public services

Canary•Dec 17, 2024

Lift for Rachel Reeves as UK borrowing hits three-year low

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%

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MetaculusM

Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?

Make a Prediction

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

Comments

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?