Question

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

median 30.0%mean 31.7%

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

China unveils plan to catch can of Martian rock samples in space and bring it back

Independent•Nov 19, 2024

Donald Trump to Join Elon Musk at SpaceX Starship Test - Is America Daring Great Things Once Again?

Red State•Nov 20, 2024

NASA Taps SpaceX, Blue Origin for Lunar Habitat and Rover Delivery

Newsweek•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

China unveils plan to catch can of Martian rock samples in space and bring it back

Independent•Nov 19, 2024

Donald Trump to Join Elon Musk at SpaceX Starship Test - Is America Daring Great Things Once Again?

Red State•Nov 20, 2024

NASA Taps SpaceX, Blue Origin for Lunar Habitat and Rover Delivery

Newsweek•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?

2029-02-13

Will the United States land humans on the moon again before 2025?

0.1%

When will China first successfully land people on Mars?

2047-09-22