Question

When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters119

Community Prediction

2436

(Dec 2069 - 9999)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>9999
community	Dec 2069	2436	>9999	34.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Dec 2069	—
median	2436	—
upper 75%	>9999	—
Upper bound
>9999	34.2%	—

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 23, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 9999

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 24, 2020

Search for extraterrestrial intelligence

European Space Agency

JAXA

Lunar Radiotelescope Detects Our Milky Way Galaxy From Moon’s South Pole

Forbes•Apr 6, 2025

Scientists reveal the simple way you can time travel

Daily Mail•Apr 5, 2025

Xenolinguistics—the Study of Alien Languages—Helps to Reveal Why All Beings Communicate

Scientific American•Apr 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

2077

Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 23, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 9999

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 24, 2020

Search for extraterrestrial intelligence

European Space Agency

JAXA

Lunar Radiotelescope Detects Our Milky Way Galaxy From Moon’s South Pole

Forbes•Apr 6, 2025

Scientists reveal the simple way you can time travel

Daily Mail•Apr 5, 2025

Xenolinguistics—the Study of Alien Languages—Helps to Reveal Why All Beings Communicate

Scientific American•Apr 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

2077

MetaculusM

When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?

Make a Prediction

Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?

Comments

Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?

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