🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?

Resolved :744749
7
6
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction749 (666 - 849)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<450
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1.2k
...
...
...
...
...
4.7%
666.3
749
849.2
1.4%

What was the final result?744

Community Baseline Score
42.5
Community Peer Score
18.6
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Artificial Intelligence
2020-2021 Leaderboard
ArXiv
Machine learning

Comments

? comments