Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?

Resolved :820k802k
22
48
Total Forecasters173
Community Prediction802k (770k - 838k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1.3M
...
...
...
...
770.3k
802k
838k
0.6%

What was the final result?820k

Community Baseline Score
17.9
Community Peer Score
47.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economist 2021
Health & Pandemics
2020-2021 Leaderboard
COVID-19
United States
Public health
Medicine
Virology

Comments

? comments