Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be net migration to the United Kingdom in 2021?

Resolved :397k180k
8
28
Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction180k (84.8k - 269k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-1M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1M
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
84.8k
179.7k
268.7k
0.3%

What was the final result?397k

Community Baseline Score
17.9
Community Peer Score
21.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
Brexit
United Kingdom

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