Question

What will be net migration to the United Kingdom in 2021?

Resolved :397k180k

Total Forecasters77

Community Prediction180k (84.8k - 269k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<-1M	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>1M
community	0.2%	84.8k	179.7k	268.7k	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-1M	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	84.8k	—
median	179.7k	—
upper 75%	268.7k	—
Upper bound
>1M	0.3%	—

What was the final result?397k

Community Baseline Score

17.9

Community Peer Score

21.1

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 12, 2020

Closes:

Oct 31, 2021

Resolves:

Nov 24, 2022

Politics

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United Kingdom

Office for National Statistics (UK)

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