Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the total number of commercial flights in operation on 30 June 2021?

Resolved :88.2k85.8k
3
13
Total Forecasters76
Community Prediction85.8k (79.9k - 92.4k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150k
...
...
...
...
79.89k
85.83k
92.44k
0.3%

What was the final result?88.2k

Community Baseline Score
72.7
Community Peer Score
21.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economist 2021
Economy & Business
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Commercial aviation
Flightradar24

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