Question

What will be the total number of commercial flights in operation on 30 June 2021?

Resolved :88.2k85.8k

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction85.8k (79.9k - 92.4k)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>150k
community	79.89k	85.83k	92.44k	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	79.89k	—
median	85.83k	—
upper 75%	92.44k	—
Upper bound
>150k	0.3%	—

What was the final result?88.2k

Community Baseline Score

72.7

Community Peer Score

21.7

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 12, 2020

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2021

Economist 2021

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Commercial aviation

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