Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

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M

Question

How many athletes will have signed the High Impact Athletes giving pledge by the end of 2021?

Resolved :2027.9
5
10
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction...

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500
...
...
...
...
...
30.0%
<20
27.86
46.42
0.4%

What was the final result?20

Community Baseline Score
-16.5
Community Peer Score
35.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
alexrjl
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Sports & Entertainment
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Marcus Daniell

Comments

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