Question

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

21.7

Community Peer Score

1.6

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

GiveWell

Effective altruism

OpenAI is funding research into ‘AI morality’

TechCrunch•Nov 23, 2024

Y Combinator often backs startups that duplicate other YC companies, data shows — it’s not just AI code editors

TechCrunch•Nov 23, 2024

Opinion | Donate This Holiday Season: Charities That Need Your Help

New York Times•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

GiveWell

Effective altruism

OpenAI is funding research into ‘AI morality’

TechCrunch•Nov 23, 2024

Y Combinator often backs startups that duplicate other YC companies, data shows — it’s not just AI code editors

TechCrunch•Nov 23, 2024

Opinion | Donate This Holiday Season: Charities That Need Your Help

New York Times•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%