Question

Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?

Resolved :No

23 comments23

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

60.4

Community Peer Score

10.9

median 17.0%mean 19.4%

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

China

Effective altruism

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

China

Effective altruism

Is The Shine Off These Tax-Saving Charitable Giving Vehicles?

Forbes•Nov 14, 2024

China Market Update: Alibaba Earnings Deep Dive, Tepper & Burry Maintain China Positions, Week In Review

Forbes•Nov 16, 2024

The Best Cookbooks of 2024 (So Far)

Wired•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%