Question

Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

73.1

Community Peer Score

2.2

median 1.0%mean 3.4%

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

Effective altruism

Encompass

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

Effective altruism

Encompass

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%