Question

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters196

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

median 70.0%mean 66.4%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Supermassive black hole

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

30.1%

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Supermassive black hole

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

30.1%

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%