Question

Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?

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Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction25% (10% - 38%)

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community: 25%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

ChristianKleineidam

Opened:

Dec 21, 2017

Closed:

Dec 31, 2019

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Computing and Math

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Information technology

RSA (cryptosystem)

Public-key cryptography

Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm

The Simple Math Behind Public Key Cryptography

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When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?

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2036-01-07

Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?

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