Question
How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction7.28k (1.07k - 44.7k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <50 | 13.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.074k | — |
| median | 7.282k | — |
| upper 75% | 44.67k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >500k | 12.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
