🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will SpaceX test-launch the BFR before 2025?

Resolved :Yes85%
56
46
Total Forecasters313
Community Prediction85% (75% - 94%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
79.8
Community Peer Score
15.3
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2016-2025 Leaderboard
SpaceX Starship
SpaceX reusable launch system
Elon Musk
Falcon Heavy
Apollo 11
Colonization of Mars
SpaceX

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