Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?

Resolved :88.3

13 comments13

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction87

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>95

...

86.52

87.02

87.77

0.2%

What was the final result?88.3

Community Baseline Score

14.7

Community Peer Score

26.7

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress

AI Technical Benchmarks

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

ImageNet

Database

Machine learning

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

Comments

? comments