Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?

Resolved :88.387

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction87 (86.5 - 87.8)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>95
community	86.52	87.02	87.77	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	86.52	—
median	87.02	—
upper 75%	87.77	—
Upper bound
>95	0.2%	—

What was the final result?88.3

Community Baseline Score

14.7

Community Peer Score

26.7

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Mar 13, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 22, 2022

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