Question

When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?

Resolved :Apr 15, 20212021-04-18

19 comments19

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction2021-04-18 (2021-04-14 - 2021-04-23)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-06-30

...

2021-04-14 01:04

2021-04-18 16:04

2021-04-23 19:19

0.2%

What was the final result?Apr 15, 2021

Community Baseline Score

104.7

Community Peer Score

23.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

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MetaculusM

When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?