Question

Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?

Resolved :No42%

33 comments33

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction42% (37% - 49%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 42%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

8.5

Community Peer Score

19.7

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Jan 16, 2021

Closes:

Oct 1, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 8, 2021

Future Perfect 2021 Series

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

US applications for jobless benefits rise to highest level in 2 months but remain relatively low

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

Unemployment spikes in Washington, D.C., as Trump and Musk begin efforts to shrink the government

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

America Sees Rise in People Quitting Their Jobs

Newsweek•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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6.16

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