🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?

Resolved :17.2k19.6k
1
4
Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction19.6k (18.5k - 20.6k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<9k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>26k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
18.54k
19.57k
20.57k
0.7%

What was the final result?17.2k

Community Baseline Score
19.5
Community Peer Score
6.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Artificial Intelligence
2021 Leaderboard
ArXiv
Computer vision
Pattern recognition
Machine learning

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