Question
How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with CommonPass?
Resolved :Below lower bound30MTotal Forecasters25
Community Prediction30M (30M - 40.6M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30M | 60.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <30M | — |
| median | <30M | — |
| upper 75% | 40.63M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3B | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?Below lower bound
Community Baseline Score
113.4
Community Peer Score
14.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Sep 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 2, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Sep 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 2, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch