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Question

When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?

Resolved :Above upper bound2022-11-06
Total Forecasters90
Community Prediction2022-11-06 (2022-07-14 - 2022-12-31)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%14 Jul 2022
median06 Nov 2022
upper 75%>31 Dec 2022
Upper bound
>2022-12-3138.6%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
19.0
Community Peer Score
107.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 22, 2021
Closes:Jan 28, 2022
Resolves:Jan 6, 2023

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