🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?

Resolved :No20%
26
57
Total Forecasters165
Community Prediction20% (15% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
7.6
Community Peer Score
12.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
Iran
Foreign policy of the Donald Trump administration
Mohammad Javad Zarif
United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
United States
Joe Biden

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