Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish on Vox.com. Predict here! $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?

Resolved :No4%
32
18
Total Forecasters227
Community Prediction4% (1% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
75.4
Community Peer Score
15.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Starship development history
SpaceX reusable launch system
Falcon Heavy
Dragon 2
SpaceX

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