Question

What will be the percent of S:N501 sequences in the U.S. among all positive SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted to the GISAID database of genetic sequences between 2021-03-01 and 2021-03-07 (inclusive)?

Resolved :2036.7

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction36.7 (24.7 - 51.6)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	24.7	36.72	51.63
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	24.7	—
median	36.72	—
upper 75%	51.63	—

What was the final result?20

Community Baseline Score

7.9

Community Peer Score

26.2

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Feb 3, 2021

Closes:

Feb 15, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 12, 2021

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Comments

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Feb 3, 2021

Closes:

Feb 15, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 12, 2021

Experts warn Americans ‘should bank on’ having more pandemics in the future

Independent•Mar 11, 2025

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Newsweek•Mar 11, 2025

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