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Question
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
Total Forecasters1038
Community Prediction50%
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median 50.0%mean 51.0%
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Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
55%
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
35%
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Authors:
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
55%
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
35%