Question

[Short Fuse] Will SpaceX's SN10 Starship prototype vehicle land successfully?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters133

Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

22.0

Community Peer Score

4.8

median 55.0%mean 55.0%

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

80%

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-11-19

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

SpaceX targets Starship flight next week – just a month after last one

New Scientist•Nov 12, 2024

Elon Musk’s SpaceX is trying for second successful ‘Mechazilla’ rocket catch with new Starship launch

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

SpaceX Plans 6th Starship Flight Test, Repeat Midair Rocket Catch

Daily Wire•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

80%

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-11-19