Question

When will the mammoth be revived?

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction2047-07-19 (2034-05-21 - 2068-10-18)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2099-12-25
community	2034	2047	2068	15.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2034	—
median	2047	—
upper 75%	2068	—
Upper bound
>2099-12-25	15.5%	—

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Feb 23, 2021

Closes:

Jan 9, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2099

On a quest to revive the woolly mammoth, Colossal Biosciences has created a woolly mouse

TechCrunch•Mar 4, 2025

Mice genetically engineered with thick hair to resemble extinct woolly mammoth

CBS•Mar 4, 2025

Scientists aiming to bring back woolly mammoth create woolly mice

Guardian•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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2099-01-31

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

2079-05-04

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

2046-10-12

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