Question

When will the mammoth be revived?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction2049-04-08 (2036-02-15 - 2070-08-03)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12-25

...

2036-02-15 08:18

2049-04-08 13:10

2070-08-03 13:33

15.8%

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Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Neanderthals and humans mated more recently than we thought! Ancient species interbred with our ancestors within the past 50,000 years, study finds - rewriting the story of our evolution

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Fossils of saber-toothed predator that gave rise to all mammals discovered

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Complete mastodon jaw fossil found in New York backyard

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a Neanderthal be born again?

2099-01-31

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

2079-04-09

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

2045-11-30

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Neanderthals and humans mated more recently than we thought! Ancient species interbred with our ancestors within the past 50,000 years, study finds - rewriting the story of our evolution

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Fossils of saber-toothed predator that gave rise to all mammals discovered

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Complete mastodon jaw fossil found in New York backyard

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a Neanderthal be born again?

2099-01-31

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

2079-04-09

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

2045-11-30

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When will the mammoth be revived?

Make a Prediction

When will a Neanderthal be born again?

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

Comments

When will a Neanderthal be born again?

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

When will a Neanderthal be born again?

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

When will a Neanderthal be born again?

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?