Question

Will radical new "low-energy nuclear reaction" technologies prove effective before 2019?

Resolved :No

31 comments31

Total Forecasters212

Community Prediction7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

86.0

Community Peer Score

21.8

median 7.0%mean 14.7%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Natural Sciences

Technology

Andrea Rossi (entrepreneur)

Anthony Aguirre

Physics

Energy

Muon-catalyzed fusion

Martin Rees

Max Tegmark

Cold fusion

Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2041-01-07

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

20%

Comments

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