Question

When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?

Resolved :May 25, 2022

53 comments53

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction2022-11-29

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-11-29

...

2022-10-31 17:15

>2022-11-29 00:00

68.5%

What was the final result?May 25, 2022

Community Baseline Score

-45.2

Community Peer Score

43.8

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

2031-03-28

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Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

2031-03-28