Question

When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?

Resolved :May 25, 20222022-11-29

53 comments53

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction2022-11-29 (2022-10-31 - 2022-11-29)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-11-29

...

2022-10-31 17:15

>2022-11-29 00:00

68.5%

What was the final result?May 25, 2022

Community Baseline Score

-45.2

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43.8

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Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

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Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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•Dec 20, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

U.S. population surpasses 340M, highest growth rate since 2001

•Dec 20, 2024

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How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

118k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

2031-02-15

Comments

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Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

U.S. population surpasses 340M, highest growth rate since 2001

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

118k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

2031-02-15

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?

Make a Prediction

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

Comments

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?