Question

Will the control problem be solved before the creation of "weak" Artificial General Intelligence?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters212

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 4.5%

Authors:

benjamin.46824682

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AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Ethics

Philosophy

AI control problem

Artificial general intelligence

The Gap Between Open and Closed AI Models Might Be Shrinking. Here’s Why That Matters

Time•Nov 5, 2024

AI safety advocates tell founders to slow down

TechCrunch•Nov 6, 2024

‘Godmother of A.I.’ Fei-Fei Li Has No Idea What A.G.I. Means

Observer (NY)•Nov 6, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

26.6%

The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

Comments

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Authors:

benjamin.46824682

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Ethics

Philosophy

AI control problem

Artificial general intelligence

The Gap Between Open and Closed AI Models Might Be Shrinking. Here’s Why That Matters

Time•Nov 5, 2024

AI safety advocates tell founders to slow down

TechCrunch•Nov 6, 2024

‘Godmother of A.I.’ Fei-Fei Li Has No Idea What A.G.I. Means

Observer (NY)•Nov 6, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

26.6%