📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Impossible Food's ingredient heme be banned in the United States before 2023?

Resolved :No5%
13
7
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction5% (5% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
79.9
Community Peer Score
8.1
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Food and Drug Administration
Center for Food Safety
United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit
Nutrition
Biochemistry
Biotechnology
Food science
United States
Impossible Foods

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