Question

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction2025-12-22 (2025-12-22 - 2025-12-22)

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2025-12-22

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>2025-12-22 00:00

77.7%

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Anthony

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Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

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How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

1.57

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

1.57

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

Make a Prediction

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?