Question

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction2025-12-22 (2025-12-22 - 2025-12-22)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2025-12-22
community	>22 Dec 2025	>22 Dec 2025	>22 Dec 2025	77.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	>22 Dec 2025	—
median	>22 Dec 2025	—
upper 75%	>22 Dec 2025	—
Upper bound
>2025-12-22	77.7%	—

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Feb 18, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

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