Question

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction2025-12-22

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2025-12-22

...

2025-12-21 11:25

>2025-12-22 00:00

75.0%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

1.91

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

US Overdose Deaths Down by 14%: CDC

Newsweek•Nov 14, 2024

Many more seniors are getting COVID shots this year, CDC reports

CBS•Nov 14, 2024

Opioid overdose deaths drop for 12th straight month, now lowest since 2020

CBS•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

1.91

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09