Question

When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters111

Community Prediction2028-04-25

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2039-12-30

...

2026-02-03 23:05

2028-04-25 15:01

2031-06-06 05:16

4.7%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Belarus’ authoritarian ruler will face only token challengers in presidential vote

Associated Press•Nov 5, 2024

Belarusian authorities launch a new wave of repression ahead of presidential vote

Associated Press•Nov 7, 2024

Belarus’ hardline president releases 31 political prisoners but crackdown persists

Associated Press•Nov 8, 2024

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