Question

Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction6.9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6.9%

median 6.9%mean 6.9%

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Primordial black hole

Astrophysics

Big Bang

Scientists propose a shocking new theory for the origin of the moon - and claim the popular 'collision theory' is WRONG

Daily Mail•Nov 12, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Einstein's Theory of General Relativity Faces Challenge

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

52%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Primordial black hole

Astrophysics

Big Bang

Scientists propose a shocking new theory for the origin of the moon - and claim the popular 'collision theory' is WRONG

Daily Mail•Nov 12, 2024

NASA Webb Revelations Challenge Traditional Theory of Gravity

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Einstein's Theory of General Relativity Faces Challenge

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

52%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%