Question

Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?

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Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction5% (3% - 10%)

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50%

community: 5%

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Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Primordial black hole

Astrophysics

Big Bang

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Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

There could be planets around the black hole at the heart of our galaxy, scientists say

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

51%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Primordial black hole

Astrophysics

Big Bang

What is a dark comet? A quick guide to the ‘new’ kids in the Solar System

Raw Story•Dec 16, 2024

Astronomers Just Found Double Trouble Close To Our Galaxy’s Black Hole

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

There could be planets around the black hole at the heart of our galaxy, scientists say

Independent•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

51%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?

Make a Prediction

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Comments

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?