Question

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction62.2% (58% - 81%)

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50%

community: 62.2%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

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Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

121k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

OpenAI's $5 Billion Problem Amid Leadership Crisis is Complicating Matters for Sam Altman

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI Under Fire: Leadership Shake-ups and Rising Competition

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI's Growing Pains: Leadership Exodus & Capitalization

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

121k

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Make a Prediction

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

Comments

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?