Question

Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?

Resolved :Yes

12 comments12

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

77.3

Community Peer Score

5.8

median 95.0%mean 93.1%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

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How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k