Question

Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?

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Community Prediction18% (10% - 25%)

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jzima

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Space

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Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

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If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08-02

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

1.06k

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Communications Commission

Astronomy

Physics

Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

United States

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

New Study Reveals Just How Lucky We Are to Witness Saturn's Incredible Rings

•Dec 18, 2024

NASA Responds to Rumors of 'Catastrophic' ISS De-orbit

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08-02

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

1.06k

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Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?

Make a Prediction

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

Comments

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome