Question
When will the first human mission to Venus take place?
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
May 2071
(Jan 2045 - Jan 2075)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<173568960000% | 0.4% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | Jan 2045 | — |
median | May 2071 | — |
upper 75% | >Jan 2075 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>331352640000% | 36.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 11, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 11, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch