Question
When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Total Forecasters284
Community Prediction
2026
(2025 - 2028)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2025 | — |
| median | 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >410166720000% | 0.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 10, 2021
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 10, 2021