Question

Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters83

Community Prediction70% (49% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Mar 12, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

United Network for Organ Sharing

United States

‘I’m superwoman’: Alabama woman with pig organ inside her is thriving two months after transplant

Independent•Jan 25, 2025

The only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

Associated Press•Jan 25, 2025

Alabama woman who is the only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

CBS•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

Foresight 2020

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Mar 12, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

United Network for Organ Sharing

United States

‘I’m superwoman’: Alabama woman with pig organ inside her is thriving two months after transplant

Independent•Jan 25, 2025

The only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

Associated Press•Jan 25, 2025

Alabama woman who is the only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

CBS•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%