Question

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

31 comments31

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction1% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 21, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2046

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2046

Social Sciences

Environmental science

United Nations

Chemistry

Total fertility rate

Poland's Birth Rate at Lowest Since WW2

Newsweek•Jan 29, 2025

Toys R Us Pivots to Gen Z 'Kidults' As Birth Rates Fall

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

What really happens to fertility after age 35 — and the truth about ‘geriatric pregnancies’

New York Post•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 21, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2046

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2046

Social Sciences

Environmental science

United Nations

Chemistry

Total fertility rate

Poland's Birth Rate at Lowest Since WW2

Newsweek•Jan 29, 2025

Toys R Us Pivots to Gen Z 'Kidults' As Birth Rates Fall

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

What really happens to fertility after age 35 — and the truth about ‘geriatric pregnancies’

New York Post•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

73%

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

2.17

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

2.17