Question
When will Nate Silver release his second book?
Resolved :Aug 13, 20242024-08-17Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction2024-08-17 (2024-07-29 - 2024-09-10)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 29 Jul 2024 | — |
median | 17 Aug 2024 | — |
upper 75% | 10 Sep 2024 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2026-04-03 | 2.3% | — |
What was the final result?Aug 13, 2024
Community Baseline Score
25.2
Community Peer Score
35.8
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2021
Closes:Apr 4, 2026
Resolves:Apr 4, 2026
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2021
Closes:Apr 4, 2026
Resolves:Apr 4, 2026