Question

Will North Korea and South Korea be recognized as a unified sovereign state by 2045?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters115

Community Prediction8% (5% - 12.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8%

Authors:

metani

Opened:

Jun 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2037

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2045

Geopolitics

Korean War

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

Korea at the 2018 Winter Olympics

Korean Demilitarized Zone

North Korea

Celebrating Kenya's Independence Day, Korea-Kenya ties

Korea Herald•Feb 16, 2025

North Korea’s Kim makes rare visit to father’s tomb, pledging his devotion to ‘sacred struggle’

NBC•Feb 18, 2025

North Korea Doubles Down on Nukes Amid Rising Tensions with US and Asia

Newsweek•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will North and South Korea be at war before 2050, according to WPR?

20%

Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR?

When will North Korea become a democracy?

2075-04-27

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