Question
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
Total Forecasters193
Community Prediction2145-08-03 (1997-08-01 - 2999-12-31)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1893-04-19 | 2.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1997 | — |
| median | 2145 | — |
| upper 75% | >2999 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2999-12-31 | 26.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2999
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 4000
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2999
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 4000
